Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 3:22 PM to 3:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.1426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-42.07-6.3629.35Sep 2, 3:22 PM ET3:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-42.07-6.3629.35Sep 2, 3:22 PM ET3:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:22 PM ET34.1426
Projected value at 3:51 PM ET-0.890387
Actual value at 3:51 PM ET-30.7544
Projected change across the window-35.033
Actual change across the window-64.8971
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (3:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.277059 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (3:42 PM ET) with a gap of 46.8391. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (3:39 PM ET), a move of -7.72426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:23 PM8.6952333.1346+24.4393
63:28 PM6.297629.49338+3.19576
123:34 PM2.95462-7.29853-10.2532
183:40 PM0.355366-38.8125-39.1679
243:46 PM-0.359782-42.0816-41.7218
293:51 PM-0.890387-30.7544-29.864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.