Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 3:17 PM to 3:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.2007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-43.25-16.3710.51Sep 2, 3:17 PM ET3:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-43.25-16.3710.51Sep 2, 3:17 PM ET3:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:17 PM ET13.2007
Projected value at 3:46 PM ET-0.972433
Actual value at 3:46 PM ET5.25735
Projected change across the window-14.1732
Actual change across the window-7.94338
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.78 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (3:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.921616 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (3:32 PM ET) with a gap of 49.9944. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (3:46 PM ET), a move of +9.18824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:18 PM12.25739.49338-2.76391
63:23 PM8.02612-4.45368-12.4798
123:29 PM4.57949-33.3581-37.9376
183:35 PM1.43377-42.8765-44.3102
243:41 PM-0.441353-30.7544-30.3131
293:46 PM-0.9724335.25735+6.22979

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.