Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 2:31 PM to 3:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 58.5331. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.5129.4470.4Sep 2, 2:31 PM ET3:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.5129.4470.4Sep 2, 2:31 PM ET3:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:31 PM ET58.5331
Projected value at 3:00 PM ET0.057634
Actual value at 3:00 PM ET-17.0132
Projected change across the window-58.4755
Actual change across the window-75.5463
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:57 PM ET), where they sat 1.49043 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (2:38 PM ET) with a gap of 67.2964. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (2:56 PM ET), a move of -10.4868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:32 PM6.2715361.8882+55.6167
62:37 PM8.505574.6515+66.146
122:43 PM5.9411262.5471+56.6059
182:49 PM2.1342532.9235+30.7893
242:55 PM1.3027516.211+14.9083
293:00 PM0.057634-17.0132-17.0709

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.