Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 2:26 PM to 2:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 70.4147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.8120.2569.31Sep 2, 2:26 PM ET2:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.8120.2569.31Sep 2, 2:26 PM ET2:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:26 PM ET70.4147
Projected value at 2:55 PM ET1.29806
Actual value at 2:55 PM ET-35.4037
Projected change across the window-69.1166
Actual change across the window-105.818
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (2:47 PM ET), where they sat 2.01927 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (2:30 PM ET) with a gap of 63.1569. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (2:47 PM ET), a move of -10.4868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:27 PM12.453273.8044+61.3512
62:32 PM11.471268.5875+57.1163
122:38 PM7.5605638.814+31.2534
182:44 PM6.2104429.5559+23.3454
242:50 PM2.11114-11.1206-13.2317
292:55 PM1.29806-35.4037-36.7017

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.