Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 2:23 PM to 2:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 75.9007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.8120.2569.31Sep 2, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.8120.2569.31Sep 2, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:23 PM ET75.9007
Projected value at 2:52 PM ET-0.0393733
Actual value at 2:52 PM ET-32.4257
Projected change across the window-75.9401
Actual change across the window-108.326
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (2:41 PM ET), where they sat 0.85356 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:24 PM ET) with a gap of 62.9373. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (2:41 PM ET), a move of -10.4868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:24 PM12.225975.1632+62.9373
62:29 PM8.7170957.3132+48.5961
122:35 PM7.0157531.8559+24.8401
182:41 PM4.870715.72426+0.85356
242:47 PM1.86341-25.2794-27.1428
292:52 PM-0.0393733-32.4257-32.3864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.