Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 2:08 PM to 2:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.9294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-31.89-5.73720.42Sep 2, 2:08 PM ET2:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-31.89-5.73720.42Sep 2, 2:08 PM ET2:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:08 PM ET23.9294
Projected value at 2:37 PM ET-0.678726
Actual value at 2:37 PM ET-12.7309
Projected change across the window-24.6081
Actual change across the window-36.6603
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:28 PM ET), where they sat 0.909607 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (2:18 PM ET) with a gap of 29.1289. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:35 PM ET), a move of -10.8544. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:09 PM3.650116.211+12.5609
62:14 PM-4.59191-17.0132-12.4213
122:20 PM-4.78261-33.636-28.8534
182:26 PM-3.14965-13.8868-10.7371
242:32 PM-1.0043719.4838+20.4882
292:37 PM-0.678726-12.7309-12.0522

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.