Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:36 AM to 12:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 43.1243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.127.38938.89Sep 2, 11:36 AM ET12:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.127.38938.89Sep 2, 11:36 AM ET12:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:36 AM ET43.1243
Projected value at 12:05 PM ET1.40629
Actual value at 12:05 PM ET-28.3463
Projected change across the window-41.718
Actual change across the window-71.4706
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:01 PM ET), where they sat 5.20725 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (11:54 AM ET) with a gap of 38.568. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (12:02 PM ET), a move of -10.0118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:37 AM16.613240.7706+24.1574
611:42 AM7.8058638.3618+30.5559
1211:48 AM0.71794130.1824+29.4644
1811:54 AM0.12463238.6926+38.568
2412:00 PM-0.64503613.0434+13.6884
2912:05 PM1.40629-28.3463-29.7526

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.