Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:34 AM to 12:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 38.4846. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.264.70634.67Sep 2, 11:34 AM ET12:03 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.264.70634.67Sep 2, 11:34 AM ET12:03 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:34 AM ET38.4846
Projected value at 12:03 PM ET-0.0973994
Actual value at 12:03 PM ET-27.2515
Projected change across the window-38.582
Actual change across the window-65.736
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (11:57 AM ET), where they sat 2.08934 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (11:50 AM ET) with a gap of 32.7578. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:58 AM ET), a move of -10.0118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:35 AM27.315336.6662+9.35091
611:40 AM17.789536.5059+18.7164
1211:46 AM9.6970428.789+19.0919
1811:52 AM4.9313433.0081+28.0768
2411:58 AM1.90644-5.51471-7.42115
2912:03 PM-0.0973994-27.2515-27.1541

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.