Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:31 AM to 12:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.3184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.264.70634.67Sep 2, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.264.70634.67Sep 2, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 AM ET37.3184
Projected value at 12:00 PM ET-0.860399
Actual value at 12:00 PM ET-13.7272
Projected change across the window-38.1788
Actual change across the window-51.0456
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:52 AM ET), where they sat 0.283317 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (11:45 AM ET) with a gap of 29.8557. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (11:53 AM ET), a move of -10.0118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 AM35.608138.2772+2.66914
611:37 AM21.23231.3206+10.0886
1211:43 AM12.467334.5272+22.0599
1811:49 AM4.3630821.489+17.1259
2411:55 AM1.21248-22.7816-23.9941
2912:00 PM-0.860399-13.7272-12.8668

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.