Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:02 AM to 9:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -39.7728. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-57.89-30.49-3.095Sep 2, 9:02 AM ET9:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-57.89-30.49-3.095Sep 2, 9:02 AM ET9:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:02 AM ET-39.7728
Projected value at 9:31 AM ET-0.380334
Actual value at 9:31 AM ET-8.44779
Projected change across the window+39.3925
Actual change across the window+31.325
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.26×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.26 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (9:30 AM ET), where they sat 7.77165 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (9:07 AM ET) with a gap of 50.3224. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (9:11 AM ET), a move of +9.42132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:03 AM-19.255-46.4632-27.2082
69:08 AM-10.1208-59.0507-48.9299
129:14 AM-4.21264-22.1426-17.93
189:20 AM-0.333067-13.3603-13.0272
249:26 AM0.214587-13.3985-13.6131
299:31 AM-0.380334-8.44779-8.06746

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.