Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:01 AM to 9:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -46.4632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-57.84-30.13-2.406Sep 2, 9:01 AM ET9:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-57.84-30.13-2.406Sep 2, 9:01 AM ET9:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:01 AM ET-46.4632
Projected value at 9:30 AM ET-0.316977
Actual value at 9:30 AM ET-8.94853
Projected change across the window+46.1463
Actual change across the window+37.5147
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.23×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.23 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (9:29 AM ET), where they sat 8.57311 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (9:05 AM ET) with a gap of 46.5153. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (9:09 AM ET), a move of +9.42132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:02 AM-23.3586-50.4154-27.0568
69:07 AM-12.8971-54.4353-41.5382
129:13 AM-6.46044-21.161-14.7006
189:19 AM-1.23117-11.5618-10.3306
249:25 AM1.00069-12.8471-13.8477
299:30 AM-0.316977-8.94853-8.63155

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.