Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 8:58 AM to 9:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 8:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -60.75. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-57.92-30.75-3.585Sep 2, 8:58 AM ET9:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-57.92-30.75-3.585Sep 2, 8:58 AM ET9:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:58 AM ET-60.75
Projected value at 9:27 AM ET0.0637945
Actual value at 9:27 AM ET-16.1706
Projected change across the window+60.8138
Actual change across the window+44.5794
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.36×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.36 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (9:13 AM ET), where they sat 1.14575 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (8:59 AM ET) with a gap of 28.6868. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (9:03 AM ET), a move of +9.42132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:59 AM-32.8809-61.5676-28.6868
69:04 AM-22.986-29.1875-6.20147
129:10 AM-13.4355-17.5221-4.08656
189:16 AM-6.92805-10.4441-3.51607
249:22 AM-2.25556-8.00809-5.75253
299:27 AM0.0637945-16.1706-16.2344

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.