Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 8:56 AM to 9:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 8:56 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -61.5676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-57.91-30.69-3.468Sep 2, 8:56 AM ET9:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:56 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-57.91-30.69-3.468Sep 2, 8:56 AM ET9:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:56 AM ET-61.5676
Projected value at 9:25 AM ET0.187575
Actual value at 9:25 AM ET-17.5956
Projected change across the window+61.7552
Actual change across the window+43.9721
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (9:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.178969 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:56 AM ET) with a gap of 24.4584. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (9:00 AM ET), a move of +9.42132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:57 AM-36.1712-59.0507-22.8795
69:02 AM-27.0104-24.8985+2.11188
129:08 AM-17.0439-15.1684+1.87551
189:14 AM-9.17927-12.5985-3.41926
249:20 AM-2.81741-8.44779-5.63039
299:25 AM0.187575-17.5956-17.7832

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.