Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 8:52 AM to 9:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 8:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -35.7404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.73-18.76-3.799Sep 2, 8:52 AM ET9:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.73-18.76-3.799Sep 2, 8:52 AM ET9:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:52 AM ET-35.7404
Projected value at 9:21 AM ET-1.789
Actual value at 9:21 AM ET-18.3419
Projected change across the window+33.9514
Actual change across the window+17.3985
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (9:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.312268 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (9:20 AM ET) with a gap of 18.0562. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (8:53 AM ET), a move of +6.55294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:53 AM-33.9866-29.1875+4.79913
68:58 AM-27.1264-18.9949+8.13157
129:04 AM-16.4344-9.73676+6.69768
189:10 AM-9.38553-9.69779-0.312268
249:16 AM-4.50773-16.1706-11.6629
299:21 AM-1.789-18.3419-16.5529

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.