Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 7:54 AM to 8:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 7:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.4625. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.61-6.5426.526Sep 2, 7:54 AM ET8:23 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.61-6.5426.526Sep 2, 7:54 AM ET8:23 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:54 AM ET-20.4625
Projected value at 8:23 AM ET0.1408
Actual value at 8:23 AM ET8.28088
Projected change across the window+20.6033
Actual change across the window+28.7434
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.420673 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:55 AM ET) with a gap of 20.0756. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (8:23 AM ET), a move of +6.14632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:55 AM-1.28106-21.3566-20.0756
68:00 AM-2.92181-20.9324-18.0105
128:06 AM-3.42638-20.6051-17.1788
188:12 AM-1.58661-14.9243-13.3377
248:18 AM0.649047-7.22059-7.86963
298:23 AM0.14088.28088+8.14008

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.