Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 7:51 AM to 8:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 7:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.7618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.09-2.17914.73Sep 2, 7:51 AM ET8:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.09-2.17914.73Sep 2, 7:51 AM ET8:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:51 AM ET-19.7618
Projected value at 8:20 AM ET-0.409943
Actual value at 8:20 AM ET17.0066
Projected change across the window+19.3518
Actual change across the window+36.7684
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (8:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.0442311 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:51 AM ET) with a gap of 19.5426. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (8:18 AM ET), a move of +6.14632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:52 AM-1.70684-19.2816-17.5748
67:57 AM-5.11744-19.3676-14.2502
128:03 AM-5.83016-19.1147-13.2845
188:09 AM-3.97546-10.4868-6.51131
248:15 AM-0.776629-4.95662-4.17999
298:20 AM-0.40994317.0066+17.4166

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.