Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 7:09 AM to 7:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 7:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.3779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.9411.9436.82Sep 2, 7:09 AM ET7:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.9411.9436.82Sep 2, 7:09 AM ET7:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:09 AM ET28.3779
Projected value at 7:38 AM ET1.58936
Actual value at 7:38 AM ET9.40147
Projected change across the window-26.7886
Actual change across the window-18.9765
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.41×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.41 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (7:20 AM ET), where they sat 2.07598 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:09 AM ET) with a gap of 44.6606. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (7:36 AM ET), a move of -9.81838. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:10 AM-9.8640229.3199+39.1839
67:15 AM3.6496625.4382+21.7886
127:21 AM2.922415.16029+2.23789
187:27 AM4.2956818.3919+14.0962
247:33 AM4.7372638.4132+33.676
297:38 AM1.589369.40147+7.81211

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.