Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 7:01 AM to 7:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 7:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.8647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.212.3336.86Sep 2, 7:01 AM ET7:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.212.3336.86Sep 2, 7:01 AM ET7:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:01 AM ET20.8647
Projected value at 7:30 AM ET0.669043
Actual value at 7:30 AM ET-15.0309
Projected change across the window-20.1957
Actual change across the window-35.8956
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.76894 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (7:19 AM ET) with a gap of 47.6021. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (7:21 AM ET), a move of -9.81838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:02 AM-4.0315916.5059+20.5375
67:07 AM-14.85655.80147+20.658
127:13 AM-11.888820.0559+31.9447
187:19 AM-7.44440.1581+47.6021
247:25 AM-5.45429-3.21838+2.23591
297:30 AM0.669043-15.0309-15.6999

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.