Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 5:23 AM to 5:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 5:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.9301. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.021.09419.2Sep 2, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.021.09419.2Sep 2, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:23 AM ET16.9301
Projected value at 5:52 AM ET-1.67446
Actual value at 5:52 AM ET4.8
Projected change across the window-18.6046
Actual change across the window-12.1301
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (5:40 AM ET), where they sat 0.193611 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (5:26 AM ET) with a gap of 40.2543. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (5:34 AM ET), a move of -4.90662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:24 AM-15.18318.2426+33.4257
65:29 AM-19.328116.9838+36.312
125:35 AM-18.1636-3.56985+14.5937
185:41 AM-9.29271-9.56912-0.276403
245:47 AM-3.545532.08382+5.62936
295:52 AM-1.674464.8+6.47446

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.