Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 5:22 AM to 5:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 5:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.2426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.263.08819.44Sep 2, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.263.08819.44Sep 2, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:22 AM ET18.2426
Projected value at 5:51 AM ET-1.56559
Actual value at 5:51 AM ET4.40147
Projected change across the window-19.8082
Actual change across the window-13.8412
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.43×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.43 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (5:39 AM ET), where they sat 0.43368 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (5:25 AM ET) with a gap of 35.1303. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (5:32 AM ET), a move of -4.90662. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:23 AM-9.9245620.6434+30.5679
65:28 AM-15.044213.6169+28.6611
125:34 AM-14.9247-7.17426+7.75048
185:40 AM-8.37514-7.77574+0.599401
245:46 AM-2.736582.90147+5.63805
295:51 AM-1.565594.40147+5.96706

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.