Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 5:21 AM to 5:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.6434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.075.31619.7Sep 2, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.075.31619.7Sep 2, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:21 AM ET20.6434
Projected value at 5:50 AM ET-2.35537
Actual value at 5:50 AM ET4.68235
Projected change across the window-22.9988
Actual change across the window-15.961
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (5:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.0879612 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:21 AM ET) with a gap of 29.3075. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (5:30 AM ET), a move of -4.90662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:22 AM-6.7217121.6353+28.357
65:27 AM-7.3410810.8309+18.172
125:33 AM-10.6011-10.0272+0.573863
185:39 AM-7.09888-5.96397+1.13491
245:45 AM-2.389623.52426+5.91389
295:50 AM-2.355374.68235+7.03772

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.