Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 5:08 AM to 5:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 5:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.3015. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.384-2.5554.275Sep 2, 5:08 AM ET5:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.384-2.5554.275Sep 2, 5:08 AM ET5:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:08 AM ET-10.3015
Projected value at 5:37 AM ET-3.63417
Actual value at 5:37 AM ET0.230147
Projected change across the window+6.6673
Actual change across the window+10.5316
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (5:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.0263497 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:08 AM ET) with a gap of 6.85535. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (5:13 AM ET), a move of +2.44926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:09 AM-3.41924-10.2566-6.83738
65:14 AM-3.0479-1.10221+1.94569
125:20 AM2.544024.63603+2.09201
185:26 AM5.19213.51544-1.67666
245:32 AM-0.3862880.0492647+0.435553
295:37 AM-3.634170.230147+3.86432

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.