Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 5:07 AM to 5:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.2566. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.9141.08111.08Sep 2, 5:07 AM ET5:36 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.9141.08111.08Sep 2, 5:07 AM ET5:36 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:07 AM ET-10.2566
Projected value at 5:36 AM ET2.09058
Actual value at 5:36 AM ET1.53235
Projected change across the window+12.3472
Actual change across the window+11.789
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.558225 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (5:26 AM ET) with a gap of 9.3892. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (5:11 AM ET), a move of +2.44926. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:08 AM-0.953864-9.56912-8.61525
65:13 AM2.193270.942647-1.25062
125:19 AM8.914924.8-4.11492
185:25 AM11.83583.48529-8.3505
245:31 AM6.39049-0.343382-6.73387
295:36 AM2.090581.53235-0.558225

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.