Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 3:55 AM to 4:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 3:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.5147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.01-8.625-0.2406Sep 2, 3:55 AM ET4:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.01-8.625-0.2406Sep 2, 3:55 AM ET4:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:55 AM ET-10.5147
Projected value at 4:24 AM ET-0.915169
Actual value at 4:24 AM ET-3.43309
Projected change across the window+9.59954
Actual change across the window+7.08162
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.36×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.36 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (3:57 AM ET), where they sat 0.0450926 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (4:16 AM ET) with a gap of 13.4421. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (4:20 AM ET), a move of +3.10294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:56 AM-15.7053-11.7779+3.92733
64:01 AM-5.65497-7.66985-2.01489
124:07 AM-2.87378-7.16618-4.2924
184:13 AM-0.365742-9.82721-9.46146
244:19 AM0.885485-6.25368-7.13916
294:24 AM-0.915169-3.43309-2.51792

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.