Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 1:57 AM to 2:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 1:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.1846. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.34-14.325.695Sep 2, 1:57 AM ET2:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.34-14.325.695Sep 2, 1:57 AM ET2:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:57 AM ET-26.1846
Projected value at 2:26 AM ET0.600058
Actual value at 2:26 AM ET8.38382
Projected change across the window+26.7846
Actual change across the window+34.5684
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (2:15 AM ET), where they sat 0.658449 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:02 AM ET) with a gap of 23.0864. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (2:15 AM ET), a move of +5.48015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:58 AM-16.0139-29.7801-13.7662
62:03 AM-13.1847-35.2971-22.1123
122:09 AM-9.16513-25.4559-16.2908
182:15 AM-7.6783-7.01985+0.658449
242:21 AM-3.14112.73529+5.87639
292:26 AM0.6000588.38382+7.78377

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.