Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 12:08 AM to 12:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.414. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.14-4.6164.903Sep 2, 12:08 AM ET12:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.14-4.6164.903Sep 2, 12:08 AM ET12:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:08 AM ET-15.414
Projected value at 12:37 AM ET-0.622866
Actual value at 12:37 AM ET5.16324
Projected change across the window+14.7911
Actual change across the window+20.5772
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (12:12 AM ET), where they sat 0.0405147 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (12:09 AM ET) with a gap of 8.7142. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (12:12 AM ET), a move of +4.12132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:09 AM-6.43875-15.1529-8.7142
612:14 AM-5.07589-3.89338+1.1825
1212:20 AM-2.337161.00515+3.34231
1812:26 AM-1.69275.14118+6.83388
2412:32 AM-0.3184483.93529+4.25374
2912:37 AM-0.6228665.16324+5.7861

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.