Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 11:47 PM to 12:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 11:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.41912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.62-2.0064.609Sep 1, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.62-2.0064.609Sep 1, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:47 PM ET5.41912
Projected value at 12:16 AM ET-0.416811
Actual value at 12:16 AM ET-0.297794
Projected change across the window-5.83593
Actual change across the window-5.71691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.119017 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:47 PM ET) with a gap of 14.9278. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:07 AM ET), a move of -2.05294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:48 PM-8.863464.86618+13.7296
611:53 PM-7.96014.75882+12.7189
1211:59 PM-5.461865.28824+10.7501
1812:05 AM-2.860152.70368+5.56383
2412:11 AM-1.80632-4.85735-3.05103
2912:16 AM-0.416811-0.297794+0.119017

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.