Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 11:01 PM to 11:30 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 11:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.05735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:30 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.4068.15114.9Sep 1, 11:01 PM ET11:30 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.4068.15114.9Sep 1, 11:01 PM ET11:30 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:01 PM ET8.05735
Projected value at 11:30 PM ET0.500014
Actual value at 11:30 PM ET1.25368
Projected change across the window-7.55734
Actual change across the window-6.80368
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (11:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.753663 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (11:10 PM ET) with a gap of 12.1416. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:14 PM ET), a move of -2.55368. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:02 PM3.446578.33676+4.8902
611:07 PM5.0850613.4794+8.39435
1211:13 PM1.8372710.314+8.4767
1811:19 PM1.072962.18529+1.11233
2411:25 PM1.844034.12794+2.28392
2911:30 PM0.5000141.25368+0.753663

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.