Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 10:12 PM to 10:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 10:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.9022. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.74-9.046-0.3567Sep 1, 10:12 PM ET10:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.74-9.046-0.3567Sep 1, 10:12 PM ET10:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:12 PM ET-18.9022
Projected value at 10:41 PM ET-0.704271
Actual value at 10:41 PM ET-2.30588
Projected change across the window+18.1979
Actual change across the window+16.5963
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.111129 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:15 PM ET) with a gap of 9.1236. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (10:20 PM ET), a move of +4.16103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:13 PM-11.4458-18.6191-7.17328
610:18 PM-7.57245-14.0838-6.51138
1210:24 PM-4.67357-2.74265+1.93092
1810:30 PM-3.7987-0.644853+3.15385
2410:36 PM-1.23451-1.49191-0.257401
2910:41 PM-0.704271-2.30588-1.60161

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.