Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.4125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.27-8.801-0.3277Sep 1, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.27-8.801-0.3277Sep 1, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET-18.4125
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET-0.550301
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET-3.65441
Projected change across the window+17.8622
Actual change across the window+14.7581
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.21×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.21 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (10:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.284099 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (10:20 PM ET) with a gap of 5.60503. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:16 PM ET), a move of +4.16103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM-14.9333-18.2816-3.34827
610:16 PM-11.5416-7.92206+3.61956
1210:22 PM-7.12595-4.21618+2.90977
1810:28 PM-5.56353-0.500735+5.0628
2410:34 PM-1.769430.810294+2.57972
2910:39 PM-0.550301-3.65441-3.10411

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.