Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 10:02 PM to 10:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 10:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -6.16029. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.3-4.6630.9692Sep 1, 10:02 PM ET10:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.3-4.6630.9692Sep 1, 10:02 PM ET10:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:02 PM ET-6.16029
Projected value at 10:31 PM ET-0.421207
Actual value at 10:31 PM ET-0.992647
Projected change across the window+5.73909
Actual change across the window+5.16765
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:12 PM ET), where they sat 0.3008 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:05 PM ET) with a gap of 5.46477. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:09 PM ET), a move of +1.67059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:03 PM-9.23658-5.31397+3.92261
610:08 PM-4.64961-3.74412+0.905494
1210:14 PM0.906248-1.35882-2.26507
1810:20 PM1.47476-0.0639706-1.53873
2410:26 PM-0.288443-2.10441-1.81597
2910:31 PM-0.421207-0.992647-0.57144

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.