Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 9:25 PM to 9:54 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 9:25 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.6206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:54 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.7546.80822.37Sep 1, 9:25 PM ET9:54 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:25 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.7546.80822.37Sep 1, 9:25 PM ET9:54 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:25 PM ET18.6206
Projected value at 9:54 PM ET0.863741
Actual value at 9:54 PM ET-10.8441
Projected change across the window-17.7568
Actual change across the window-29.4647
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (9:51 PM ET), where they sat 0.149095 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:25 PM ET) with a gap of 16.5285. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (9:53 PM ET), a move of -4.71176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:26 PM5.0468521.1235+16.0767
69:31 PM11.434923.3721+11.9371
129:37 PM8.873948-0.873939
189:43 PM7.3300311.861+4.53099
249:49 PM2.388048.75735+6.36932
299:54 PM0.863741-10.8441-11.7079

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.