Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 7:30 PM to 7:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.6632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.45-8.654.149Sep 1, 7:30 PM ET7:59 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.45-8.654.149Sep 1, 7:30 PM ET7:59 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:30 PM ET-18.6632
Projected value at 7:59 PM ET0.785742
Actual value at 7:59 PM ET-5.25956
Projected change across the window+19.449
Actual change across the window+13.4037
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.45×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.45 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (7:57 PM ET), where they sat 1.85225 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (7:43 PM ET) with a gap of 27.3939. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (7:40 PM ET), a move of -4.20147. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:31 PM3.90143-16.1471-20.0485
67:36 PM5.75314-8.10294-13.8561
127:42 PM4.39622-21.7515-26.1477
187:48 PM3.42826-13.0971-16.5253
247:54 PM1.94101-9.40662-11.3476
297:59 PM0.785742-5.25956-6.0453

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.