Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 15-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 2:12 PM to 9:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 15-minute chart read -14.0015. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.03-5.8351.364Sep 25, 2:12 PM ET9:27 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.03-5.8351.364Sep 25, 2:12 PM ET9:27 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:12 PM ET-14.0015
Projected value at 9:27 PM ET-0.314049
Actual value at 9:27 PM ET-2.85221
Projected change across the window+13.6874
Actual change across the window+11.1493
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.23×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.23 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (7:57 PM ET), where they sat 0.0178579 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:12 PM ET) with a gap of 16.3205. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (2:57 PM ET), a move of +2.75882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:27 PM2.00797-12.7566-14.7646
63:42 PM2.08882-4.74412-6.83294
125:12 PM1.19996-9.48382-10.6838
186:42 PM-0.223734-0.0132353+0.210498
248:12 PM-0.544051-0.497059+0.0469925
299:27 PM-0.314049-2.85221-2.53816

About Awesome Oscillator on a 15-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 15-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.