Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 15-minute chart, September 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 6, 2026, 8:15 PM to 3:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 6, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 15-minute chart read 19.3272. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.4517.75317.96Sep 6, 8:15 PM ET3:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.4517.75317.96Sep 6, 8:15 PM ET3:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:15 PM ET19.3272
Projected value at 3:30 AM ET-3.67788
Actual value at 3:30 AM ET-2.96176
Projected change across the window-23.0051
Actual change across the window-22.289
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (10:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.104296 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:15 PM ET) with a gap of 9.03435. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:45 PM ET), a move of -2.53015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:30 PM9.5890117.7154+8.12644
69:45 PM5.704228.38897+2.68475
1211:15 PM3.07284-1.17647-4.24931
1812:45 AM-1.057480.292647+1.35012
242:15 AM-3.22087-0.620588+2.60028
293:30 AM-3.67788-2.96176+0.716117

About Awesome Oscillator on a 15-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 15-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.