Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 9:10 PM to 11:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the M2K 5 minute chart read 4.83882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.7011.7525.205Nov 12, 9:10 PM ET11:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.7011.7525.205Nov 12, 9:10 PM ET11:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:10 PM ET4.83882
Projected value at 11:35 PM ET-1.47775
Actual value at 11:35 PM ET-1.60147
Projected change across the window-6.31657
Actual change across the window-6.44029
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (11:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.061835 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (9:55 PM ET) with a gap of 5.69106. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (10:55 PM ET), a move of -0.715588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:15 PM1.44064.71824+3.27764
69:40 PM0.2598225.13853+4.87871
1210:10 PM0.3867384.18176+3.79503
1810:40 PM-1.467930.851471+2.3194
2411:10 PM-2.16444-1.99353+0.170906
2911:35 PM-1.47775-1.60147-0.123723

About Awesome Oscillator on a 5 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.