Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — M2K, 1 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 8:55 PM to 9:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the M2K 1 minute chart read -2.39059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.355-0.58161.191Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET9:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.355-0.58161.191Nov 12, 8:55 PM ET9:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:55 PM ET-2.39059
Projected value at 9:24 PM ET-0.0920155
Actual value at 9:24 PM ET1.26971
Projected change across the window+2.29857
Actual change across the window+3.66029
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (9:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.039683 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:55 PM ET) with a gap of 3.82011. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:57 PM ET), a move of +0.570294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:56 PM1.24322-1.90765-3.15087
69:01 PM0.835544-1.09471-1.93025
129:07 PM0.372393-1.96088-2.33327
189:13 PM-0.214358-2.38529-2.17094
249:19 PM0.137874-0.274118-0.411991
299:24 PM-0.09201551.26971+1.36172

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.