Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Gold, 1 minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 1:10 PM to 1:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 2, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Gold 1 minute chart read -14.1374. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.74-2.3757.995Sep 2, 1:10 PM ET1:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.74-2.3757.995Sep 2, 1:10 PM ET1:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:10 PM ET-14.1374
Projected value at 1:39 PM ET-0.597063
Actual value at 1:39 PM ET7.11
Projected change across the window+13.5403
Actual change across the window+21.2474
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (1:31 PM ET), where they sat 1.1709 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (1:20 PM ET) with a gap of 13.0645. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (1:31 PM ET), a move of +3.63118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:11 PM-2.89361-13.6479-10.7543
61:16 PM-0.666722-10.9179-10.2512
121:22 PM0.169645-10.8221-10.9917
181:28 PM0.147026-9.13735-9.28438
241:34 PM0.005394367.48353+7.47814
291:39 PM-0.5970637.11+7.70706

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Gold activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NinjaTrader AI prediction error analysis for gold futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.