Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 6:52 PM to 7:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read -0.897794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.276-0.54412.188Sep 1, 6:52 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.276-0.54412.188Sep 1, 6:52 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:52 PM ET-0.897794
Projected value at 7:21 PM ET0.0443779
Actual value at 7:21 PM ET-2.34779
Projected change across the window+0.942172
Actual change across the window-1.45
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (6:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.032775 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (7:16 PM ET) with a gap of 4.19209. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (7:14 PM ET), a move of -1.17059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:53 PM2.40478-0.772059-3.17684
66:58 PM2.14372.17647+0.032775
127:04 PM1.594582.15662+0.562039
187:10 PM1.0291.41471+0.385707
247:16 PM0.549439-3.64265-4.19209
297:21 PM0.0443779-2.34779-2.39217

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.