Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 6:50 PM to 7:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read -0.772059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.276-0.54412.188Sep 1, 6:50 PM ET7:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.276-0.54412.188Sep 1, 6:50 PM ET7:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:50 PM ET-0.772059
Projected value at 7:19 PM ET0.248129
Actual value at 7:19 PM ET-2.30441
Projected change across the window+1.02019
Actual change across the window-1.53235
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (6:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.0668308 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (7:13 PM ET) with a gap of 4.38592. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (7:11 PM ET), a move of -1.17059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:51 PM1.76537-0.418382-2.18375
66:56 PM2.001812.55441+0.5526
127:02 PM1.482762.50515+1.02239
187:08 PM1.044970.666912-0.378061
247:14 PM0.639763-3.54559-4.18535
297:19 PM0.248129-2.30441-2.55254

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.