Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read -1.90882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.76-0.61731.525Sep 1, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.76-0.61731.525Sep 1, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET-1.90882
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET0.0749092
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET-3.04779
Projected change across the window+1.98373
Actual change across the window-1.13897
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.74 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (6:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.0252404 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:49 PM ET) with a gap of 3.1227. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (6:42 PM ET), a move of -1.07941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM-1.77627-1.20662+0.569649
66:26 PM-1.07209-0.436029+0.636057
126:32 PM-0.265584-2.38162-2.11603
186:38 PM0.188871.05074+0.861866
246:44 PM0.142637-1.49779-1.64043
296:49 PM0.0749092-3.04779-3.1227

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.