Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 4:42 PM to 5:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read -10.6522. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.41-3.8692.671Sep 1, 4:42 PM ET5:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.41-3.8692.671Sep 1, 4:42 PM ET5:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:42 PM ET-10.6522
Projected value at 5:11 PM ET3.47359
Actual value at 5:11 PM ET2.03309
Projected change across the window+14.1258
Actual change across the window+12.6853
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:11 PM ET), where they sat 1.4405 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (4:48 PM ET) with a gap of 12.1257. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (4:52 PM ET), a move of +1.38382. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:43 PM-0.0369025-10.2132-10.1763
64:48 PM0.838213-11.2875-12.1257
124:54 PM2.02115-6.85441-8.87556
185:00 PM2.78521-3.05074-5.83594
245:06 PM3.205670.0470588-3.15861
295:11 PM3.473592.03309-1.4405

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.