Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 3:53 PM to 4:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read 6.22132. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.21683.4176.617Sep 1, 3:53 PM ET4:22 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.21683.4176.617Sep 1, 3:53 PM ET4:22 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:53 PM ET6.22132
Projected value at 4:22 PM ET1.64318
Actual value at 4:22 PM ET0.546324
Projected change across the window-4.57814
Actual change across the window-5.675
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (4:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.137413 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (3:55 PM ET) with a gap of 7.15122. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (4:07 PM ET), a move of -0.733088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:54 PM0.3489086.41397+6.06506
63:59 PM0.5166866.30809+5.7914
124:05 PM1.10866.49632+5.38772
184:11 PM0.7628873.775+3.01211
244:17 PM0.8499711.68676+0.836794
294:22 PM1.643180.546324-1.09686

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.