Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini S&P 500, 1-minute chart, September 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 1, 2026, 3:33 PM to 4:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 1, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini S&P 500 1-minute chart read 3.6125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.12-2.6232.874Sep 1, 3:33 PM ET4:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.12-2.6232.874Sep 1, 3:33 PM ET4:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:33 PM ET3.6125
Projected value at 4:02 PM ET-6.05604
Actual value at 4:02 PM ET-5.61618
Projected change across the window-9.66854
Actual change across the window-9.22868
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (3:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.196994 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (3:40 PM ET) with a gap of 9.09389. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (3:47 PM ET), a move of -0.888971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:34 PM-4.013253.01029+7.02355
63:39 PM-6.955511.52279+8.47831
123:45 PM-8.67878-1.11103+7.56775
183:51 PM-8.63173-5.02794+3.60379
243:57 PM-7.88918-8.20662-0.317434
294:02 PM-6.05604-5.61618+0.43986

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini S&P 500 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.