Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-hour chart, September 20, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 20, 2026, 12:44 AM to 5:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 20, 2026 at 12:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-hour chart read 36.7871. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.517.18344.87Sep 20, 12:44 AM ET5:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.517.18344.87Sep 20, 12:44 AM ET5:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:44 AM ET36.7871
Projected value at 5:44 AM ET-9.03795
Actual value at 5:44 AM ET12.0079
Projected change across the window-45.825
Actual change across the window-24.7792
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (11:44 PM ET), where they sat 2.14074 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (2:44 PM ET) with a gap of 78.3681. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (6:44 PM ET), a move of -20.3712. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:44 AM-16.043333.8539+49.8973
66:44 AM-30.457520.5437+51.0012
1212:44 PM-30.920938.159+69.08
186:44 PM-22.9499-10.9726+11.9772
2412:44 AM-14.2883-7.25247+7.0358
295:44 AM-9.0379512.0079+21.0458

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.