Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-hour chart, September 19, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 19, 2026, 2:06 PM to 7:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 19, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-hour chart read 81.5044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.614537.8676.34Sep 19, 2:06 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.614537.8676.34Sep 19, 2:06 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:06 PM ET81.5044
Projected value at 7:06 PM ET2.63854
Actual value at 7:06 PM ET-1.54247
Projected change across the window-78.8658
Actual change across the window-83.0468
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (3:06 PM ET), where they sat 1.82277 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:06 PM ET) with a gap of 73.9591. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:06 AM ET), a move of -13.7808. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:06 PM14.540770.0006+55.4598
68:06 PM19.833469.0969+49.2635
122:06 AM15.097510.5762-4.52127
188:06 AM14.3678-1.62638-15.9942
242:06 PM4.06189-1.04415-5.10604
297:06 PM2.63854-1.54247-4.18101

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.