Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-hour chart, September 18, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 18, 2026, 9:13 PM to 2:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 18, 2026 at 9:13 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-hour chart read 76.4288. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-59.19.99179.09Sep 18, 9:13 PM ET2:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-59.19.99179.09Sep 18, 9:13 PM ET2:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:13 PM ET76.4288
Projected value at 2:13 AM ET-10.6717
Actual value at 2:13 AM ET-5.30879
Projected change across the window-87.1005
Actual change across the window-81.7376
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (2:13 AM ET), where they sat 5.36291 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:13 AM ET) with a gap of 139.493. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (1:13 AM ET), a move of -33.5236. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:13 PM-47.028979.6936+126.723
63:13 AM-51.769681.8552+133.625
129:13 AM-67.557833.9166+101.474
183:13 PM-56.004651.3425+107.347
249:13 PM-15.493381.5833+97.0766
292:13 AM-10.6717-5.30879+5.36291

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.