Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 45 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 4:54 PM to 2:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 26, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 45 minute chart read 23.6809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.1322.446.93Sep 26, 4:54 PM ET2:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.1322.446.93Sep 26, 4:54 PM ET2:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:54 PM ET23.6809
Projected value at 2:39 PM ET5.91492
Actual value at 2:39 PM ET10.5148
Projected change across the window-17.766
Actual change across the window-13.1661
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (5:39 AM ET), where they sat 0.458505 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:54 PM ET) with a gap of 29.1054. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (9:24 AM ET), a move of -6.56624. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:39 PM10.941428.5034+17.562
69:24 PM34.627.6118-6.98819
121:54 AM47.960727.8054-20.1554
186:24 AM41.461942.8706+1.4087
2410:54 AM27.153912.5159-14.638
292:39 PM5.9149210.5148+4.59984

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader ATR prediction accuracy for BTCUSD A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.