Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 45-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 4:00 PM to 1:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 45-minute chart read -36.1943. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.06-9.74413.58Sep 26, 4:00 PM ET1:45 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.06-9.74413.58Sep 26, 4:00 PM ET1:45 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:00 PM ET-36.1943
Projected value at 1:45 PM ET-0.285951
Actual value at 1:45 PM ET16.7071
Projected change across the window+35.9083
Actual change across the window+52.9013
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (7:45 AM ET), where they sat 1.99532 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:00 PM ET) with a gap of 48.2616. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (5:30 PM ET), a move of +8.89844. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:45 PM12.3102-32.1913-44.5015
68:30 PM6.3304-15.9818-22.3122
121:00 AM1.21476-24.6151-25.8298
185:30 AM1.72856-11.9522-13.6808
2410:00 AM0.6426186.99797+6.35535
291:45 PM-0.28595116.7071+16.993

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.