Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 45-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 3:27 PM to 1:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 45-minute chart read 31.6974. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.114.69728.5Sep 26, 3:27 PM ET1:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.114.69728.5Sep 26, 3:27 PM ET1:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:27 PM ET31.6974
Projected value at 1:12 PM ET0.111605
Actual value at 1:12 PM ET-0.103147
Projected change across the window-31.5858
Actual change across the window-31.8006
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:12 PM ET), where they sat 0.214752 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (9:27 PM ET) with a gap of 27.5545. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:27 PM ET), a move of -10.0279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:12 PM5.3584724.4907+19.1322
67:57 PM5.30738-16.9753-22.2826
1212:27 AM3.4774-17.1116-20.589
184:57 AM1.97051-9.73747-11.708
249:27 AM0.640466-13.5216-14.1621
291:12 PM0.111605-0.103147-0.214752

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.